参考文献

    [1] LACHANCE,J.L.et al.Handbook of Parameter Estimation for Probabilistic Risk Assess-ment,Draft NUREG,US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Sandia National Laboratories,Washing-ton,DC and Albuquerque,NM,27 November 2002.
    [2] KLEIJNEN,J.P.C.Statistical Techniques in Simulation,Part I,Marcel Dekker,1974.
    [3] KLEIJNEN,J.P.C.and VAN GROENENDAAL,W.Simulation: A Statistical Perspective,John Wiley,Chichester, UK ,1992.
    [4] DALKEY,N.and HELMER,O.An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts,Management Science,Vol.9 (1963),pp.458-467.
    [5] WOUDENBERG,F.An evaluation of Delphi,Technological Forecasting and Social Change,Vol.40(1991),pp.131-150.
    [6] KIDD,A.,ed.Knowledge Elicitation for Expert Systems:A Practical Handbook,Plenum Press,New York,1987.